Rena Kubota vs Sanaa Mandar
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
15-7-0Record3-3-0
StrawweightDivisionBantamweight
5'3"Height5'3"
63" ReachTBD
108 lbsWeight135 lbs
Caesar GymTeam
What's at stake
Rena Kubota is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Sanaa Mandar carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+12→ 1597
If they lose-20→ 1565
If they win+29→ 1535
If they lose-19→ 1487
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1523 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1528 · 6 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Rena KubotaSanaa Mandar
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Rena Kubota59%
Sanaa Mandar 41%Elo baseline: 61%
The Combat Edge model makes Rena Kubota a 59% favorite over Sanaa Mandar in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
Rena Kubota holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1585 to 1506, a 79-point edge.
Rena Kubota enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Sanaa Mandar enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Rena Kubota finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Sanaa Mandar 33%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.