Renan Barão vs Ryo Takagi
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
34-10-0Record11-4-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'10"
70"Reach-
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
Pitbull Brothers· 1624 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamParaestra Hachioji
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1614
If they lose-16→ 1582
If they win+16→ 1615
If they lose-16→ 1583
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1641 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1580 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Renan BarãoRyo Takagi
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ryo Takagi58%
Renan Barão 42%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ryo Takagi a 58% favorite over Renan Barão in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1598 vs 1599), separated by just 1 points.
Renan Barão enters on a 6-fight loss streak.
Renan Barão finishes 68% of wins inside the distance, Ryo Takagi 82%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.