Renan Barão vs Urijah Faber
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
34-10-0Record35-11-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'6"
70"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Pitbull BrothersTeamTeam Alpha Male
What's at stake
Urijah Faber is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +6 while a loss costs more — Renan Barão carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+24→ 1622
If they lose-8→ 1590
If they win+6→ 1783
If they lose-18→ 1759
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1643 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1690 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Renan BarãoUrijah Faber
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Urijah Faber78%
Renan Barão 22%Elo baseline: 74%
The Combat Edge model makes Urijah Faber a 78% favorite over Renan Barão in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (74%).
Urijah Faber holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1777 to 1598, a 179-point edge.
Renan Barão enters on a 6-fight loss streak.
Renan Barão finishes 68% of wins inside the distance, Urijah Faber 79%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.