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Combat Edge Intelligence

Renan Oliveira vs Yves Edwards

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Yves Edwards
us

Yves Edwards

“Thugjitsu Master”

42-22-1LightweightUFC

1685Good

Tale of the tape

15-2-0Record42-22-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'10"
-ReachTBD
154 lbsWeight155 lbs
Tropa ThaiTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Renan OliveiraNow 1685
If they win+16→ 1701
If they lose-16→ 1669
Yves EdwardsNow 1685
If they win+12→ 1697
If they lose-12→ 1673

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1524 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1632 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
2.91
Not available
Strike accuracy
43%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.34
Not available
Strike defense
67%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0.76
Not available
Takedown accuracy
54%
Not available
Takedown defense
69%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.66

Trajectory

Renan OliveiraYves Edwards
165017001750201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (7%)
KO/TKO
17 (40%)
3 (20%)
Submission
16 (38%)
11 (73%)
Decision
9 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

Yves Edwards56%
Renan Oliveira 44%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Yves Edwards a 56% favorite over Renan Oliveira in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Renan Oliveira's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1685 vs 1685), separated by just 0 points.

Renan Oliveira enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Yves Edwards enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Renan Oliveira finishes 27% of wins inside the distance, Yves Edwards 79%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.