Renato Sobral vs Simeon Powell
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
37-12-0Record13-2-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'4"
TBDReach85"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Babalu's Iron GymTeamTitan Fighter Gym
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1699
If they lose-12→ 1675
If they win+16→ 1703
If they lose-16→ 1671
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1642 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1569 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Renato SobralSimeon Powell
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Simeon Powell73%
Renato Sobral 27%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Simeon Powell a 73% favorite over Renato Sobral in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Renato Sobral's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1687 vs 1687), separated by just 0 points.
Renato Sobral enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Simeon Powell enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Renato Sobral finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Simeon Powell 69%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.