Combat Edge Intelligence

Renato Sobral vs Travis Wiuff

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

37-12-0Record78-22-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'0"Height6'3"
TBDReachTBD
205 lbsWeight265 lbs
Babalu's Iron GymTeamElite Performance

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Renato SobralNow 1687
If they win+12→ 1699
If they lose-12→ 1675
Travis WiuffNow 1692
If they win+12→ 1704
If they lose-12→ 1680

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1642 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1513 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.01
Sig. strikes / min
0.31
52%
Strike accuracy
60%
2.64
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.23
58%
Strike defense
41%
2.97
Takedown avg.
3.14
67%
Takedown accuracy
40%
65%
Takedown defense
44%
3.16
Submission avg.
1.57

Trajectory

Renato SobralTravis Wiuff
170020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021

Win method breakdown

9 (24%)
KO/TKO
39 (50%)
15 (41%)
Submission
12 (15%)
13 (35%)
Decision
27 (35%)

Combat Edge model read

Travis Wiuff54%
Renato Sobral 46%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Travis Wiuff a 54% favorite over Renato Sobral in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1687 vs 1692), separated by just 5 points.

Renato Sobral enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Travis Wiuff enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Renato Sobral finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Travis Wiuff 65%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.