Combat Edge Intelligence

Renato Sobral vs Uran Satybaldiev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

37-12-0Record9-1-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'4"
TBDReach79"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Babalu's Iron GymTeamUluu Kyrgyz Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Renato SobralNow 1687
If they win+12→ 1699
If they lose-12→ 1675
Uran SatybaldievNow 1686
If they win+16→ 1702
If they lose-16→ 1670

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1642 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1545 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.01
Sig. strikes / min
2.14
52%
Strike accuracy
25%
2.64
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.66
58%
Strike defense
45%
2.97
Takedown avg.
0
67%
Takedown accuracy
0%
65%
Takedown defense
50%
3.16
Submission avg.
1.69

Trajectory

Renato SobralUran Satybaldiev
16501700201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

9 (24%)
KO/TKO
5 (56%)
15 (41%)
Submission
2 (22%)
13 (35%)
Decision
2 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Uran Satybaldiev72%
Renato Sobral 28%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Uran Satybaldiev a 72% favorite over Renato Sobral in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Renato Sobral's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1687 vs 1686), separated by just 1 points.

Renato Sobral enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Renato Sobral finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Uran Satybaldiev 78%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.