Combat Edge Intelligence

Renato Verissimo vs Rustam Serbiev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

7-5-0Record9-6-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height5'11"
TBDReach69"
170 lbsWeight169 lbs
BJ Penn's MMATeamAmerican Kickboxing Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Renato VerissimoNow 1541
If they win+16→ 1557
If they lose-16→ 1525
Rustam SerbievNow 1540
If they win+16→ 1556
If they lose-16→ 1524

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1606 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1498 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.92
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
49%
Strike accuracy
TBD
1.87
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
48%
Strike defense
TBD
1.46
Takedown avg.
TBD
31%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
50%
Takedown defense
TBD
2.55
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Renato VerissimoRustam Serbiev
150015502005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (86%)
KO/TKO
5 (56%)
0 (0%)
Submission
4 (44%)
1 (14%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Rustam Serbiev60%
Renato Verissimo 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Rustam Serbiev a 60% favorite over Renato Verissimo in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Renato Verissimo's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1541 vs 1540), separated by just 1 points.

Renato Verissimo finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Rustam Serbiev 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.