Rene Pessoa vs Rodrigo Gracie
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
26-13-0Record6-2-1
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'0"
-ReachTBD
186 lbsWeight185 lbs
Power Lotus TeamTeam
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1603
If they lose-12→ 1579
If they win+24→ 1617
If they lose-24→ 1569
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1595 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1561 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Rene PessoaRodrigo Gracie
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Rene Pessoa57%
Rodrigo Gracie 43%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Rene Pessoa a 57% favorite over Rodrigo Gracie in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Rodrigo Gracie's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1591 vs 1593), separated by just 2 points.
Rene Pessoa enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Rene Pessoa finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Rodrigo Gracie 33%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.