Combat Edge Intelligence

Rene Pessoa vs Ryan Gracie

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Rene Pessoa
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Rene Pessoa

“Soldado”

26-13-0MiddleweightACA

1591Solid

Tale of the tape

26-13-0Record5-2-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height5'9"
-ReachTBD
186 lbsWeight185 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Rene PessoaNow 1591
If they win+12→ 1603
If they lose-12→ 1579
Ryan GracieNow 1591
If they win+24→ 1615
If they lose-24→ 1567

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1595 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1529 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Rene PessoaRyan Gracie
150015501600200320042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (19%)
KO/TKO
2 (40%)
19 (73%)
Submission
2 (40%)
2 (8%)
Decision
1 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Rene Pessoa and Ryan Gracie within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1591 vs 1591), separated by just 0 points.

Rene Pessoa enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Ryan Gracie enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Rene Pessoa finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Ryan Gracie 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.