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Combat Edge Intelligence

Reuben Duran vs Roman Paulus

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Reuben Duran
us

Reuben Duran

“Hurricane”

13-7-1BantamweightKOTC

1586Solid

Tale of the tape

13-7-1Record11-7-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'10"
TBDReach-
135 lbsWeight139 lbs
C-Quence Jiu-JitsuTeamSpartakus Fight Gym· 1623 avg Elo · 6 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Reuben DuranNow 1586
If they win+16→ 1602
If they lose-16→ 1570
Roman PaulusNow 1587
If they win+16→ 1603
If they lose-16→ 1571

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1526 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1553 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.19
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
49%
Strike accuracy
Not available
2.61
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
51%
Strike defense
Not available
0.98
Takedown avg.
Not available
23%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
25%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.65
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Reuben DuranRoman Paulus
1550160020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (31%)
KO/TKO
1 (9%)
5 (38%)
Submission
3 (27%)
4 (31%)
Decision
7 (64%)

Combat Edge model read

Roman Paulus64%
Reuben Duran 36%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Roman Paulus a 64% favorite over Reuben Duran in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1586 vs 1587), separated by just 1 points.

Reuben Duran enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Reuben Duran finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Roman Paulus 36%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.