Combat Edge Intelligence

Reza Madadi vs Vicente Vargas

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Reza Madadi

Reza Madadi

“Mad Dog”

14-6-0LightweightUFC

1645Solid

Tale of the tape

14-6-0Record24-8-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'8"
72,0"Reach-
155 lbsWeight147 lbs
Allstars Training Center· 1678 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamTeam Ludus

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Reza MadadiNow 1645
If they win+16→ 1661
If they lose-16→ 1629
Vicente VargasNow 1644
If they win+12→ 1656
If they lose-12→ 1632

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1610 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1519 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.51
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
47%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.31
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
67%
Strike defense
TBD
3.17
Takedown avg.
TBD
34%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
89%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.50
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Reza MadadiVicente Vargas
1650170020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (15%)
KO/TKO
2 (9%)
8 (62%)
Submission
5 (22%)
3 (23%)
Decision
16 (70%)

Combat Edge model read

Vicente Vargas60%
Reza Madadi 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Vicente Vargas a 60% favorite over Reza Madadi in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Reza Madadi's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1645 vs 1644), separated by just 1 points.

Reza Madadi enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Reza Madadi finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Vicente Vargas 30%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.