Combat Edge Intelligence

Reza Madadi vs Yan Cabral

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Reza Madadi

Reza Madadi

“Mad Dog”

14-6-0LightweightUFC

1645Solid

Tale of the tape

14-6-0Record15-3-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'0"
72,0"Reach73,0"
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
Allstars Training CenterTeamAranha Barcelona BJJ

What's at stake

Yan Cabral is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Reza Madadi carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Reza MadadiNow 1645
If they win+19→ 1664
If they lose-13→ 1632
Yan CabralNow 1702
If they win+13→ 1715
If they lose-19→ 1683

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1611 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1593 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.51
Sig. strikes / min
2.02
47%
Strike accuracy
48%
3.31
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.98
67%
Strike defense
62%
3.17
Takedown avg.
2.89
34%
Takedown accuracy
36%
89%
Takedown defense
38%
0.50
Submission avg.
1.24

Trajectory

Reza MadadiYan Cabral
16501700201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

2 (15%)
KO/TKO
1 (7%)
8 (62%)
Submission
13 (87%)
3 (23%)
Decision
1 (7%)

Combat Edge model read

Yan Cabral72%
Reza Madadi 28%Elo baseline: 58%

The Combat Edge model makes Yan Cabral a 72% favorite over Reza Madadi in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).

Yan Cabral holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1702 to 1645, a 57-point edge.

Reza Madadi enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Yan Cabral enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Reza Madadi finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Yan Cabral 93%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.