Ricardo Abreu vs Wagner Silva
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-1-0Record10-8-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'0"
73,0"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Wand Fight TeamTeamTata Fight Team· 1521 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
Ricardo Abreu is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +19 while a loss costs more — Wagner Silva carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1611
If they lose-29→ 1563
If they win+19→ 1541
If they lose-13→ 1509
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1510 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1521 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ricardo AbreuWagner Silva
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Wagner Silva52%
Ricardo Abreu 48%Elo baseline: 40%
The Combat Edge model makes Wagner Silva a 52% favorite over Ricardo Abreu in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ricardo Abreu's way (40%).
Ricardo Abreu holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1592 to 1522, a 70-point edge.
Wagner Silva enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Ricardo Abreu finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Wagner Silva 70%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.