Ricardo Arreola vs Rob Emerson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
10-13-0Record21-15-0
LightweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'8"
-ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight135 lbs
Invictus Fight SystemTeamMMA Lab
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1493
If they lose-16→ 1461
If they win+16→ 1492
If they lose-16→ 1460
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1507 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1592 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ricardo ArreolaRob Emerson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Rob Emerson59%
Ricardo Arreola 41%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Rob Emerson a 59% favorite over Ricardo Arreola in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ricardo Arreola's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1477 vs 1476), separated by just 1 points.
Ricardo Arreola enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Ricardo Arreola finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Rob Emerson 62%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.