Combat Edge Intelligence

Ricardo Funch vs Stephen Costello

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-6-0Record6-4-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'1"
TBDReach-
170 lbsWeight171 lbs
Team LinkTeamSBG Ireland

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ricardo FunchNow 1535
If they win+16→ 1551
If they lose-16→ 1519
Stephen CostelloNow 1534
If they win+16→ 1550
If they lose-16→ 1518

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1594 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1558 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.61
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
65%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.57
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
40%
Strike defense
TBD
1.24
Takedown avg.
TBD
19%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
60%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Ricardo FunchStephen Costello
150015501600201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (56%)
KO/TKO
2 (33%)
1 (11%)
Submission
2 (33%)
3 (33%)
Decision
2 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Stephen Costello63%
Ricardo Funch 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Stephen Costello a 63% favorite over Ricardo Funch in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ricardo Funch's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1535 vs 1534), separated by just 1 points.

Ricardo Funch finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Stephen Costello 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.