Combat Edge Intelligence

Ricardo Lemos vs Yasuhiro Urushitani

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

5-0-0Record21-8-6
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'5"
-ReachTBD
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
CM System· 1632 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamTribe Tokyo MMA· 1629 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ricardo LemosNow 1607
If they win+24→ 1631
If they lose-24→ 1583
Yasuhiro UrushitaniNow 1608
If they win+12→ 1620
If they lose-12→ 1596

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1517 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1534 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.47
TBD
Strike accuracy
40%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.71
TBD
Strike defense
65%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
80%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Ricardo LemosYasuhiro Urushitani
15501600201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (20%)
KO/TKO
4 (19%)
4 (80%)
Submission
1 (5%)
0 (0%)
Decision
16 (76%)

Combat Edge model read

Ricardo Lemos70%
Yasuhiro Urushitani 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ricardo Lemos a 70% favorite over Yasuhiro Urushitani in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Yasuhiro Urushitani's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1607 vs 1608), separated by just 1 points.

Ricardo Lemos enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Yasuhiro Urushitani enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Ricardo Lemos finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Yasuhiro Urushitani 24%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.