Combat Edge Intelligence

Ricardo Romero vs Seth Petruzelli

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-3-0Record14-8-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'0"
TBDReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
AMA Fight ClubTeamThe Jungle MMA

What's at stake

Ricardo Romero is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Seth Petruzelli carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Ricardo RomeroNow 1642
If they win+14→ 1656
If they lose-18→ 1624
Seth PetruzelliNow 1600
If they win+18→ 1618
If they lose-14→ 1586

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1523 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1582 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.17
Sig. strikes / min
2.03
56%
Strike accuracy
41%
4.77
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.09
46%
Strike defense
55%
1.63
Takedown avg.
0.46
10%
Takedown accuracy
50%
100%
Takedown defense
48%
3.26
Submission avg.
2.31

Trajectory

Ricardo RomeroSeth Petruzelli
1600165017002010201120122013

Win method breakdown

4 (36%)
KO/TKO
12 (86%)
6 (55%)
Submission
1 (7%)
1 (9%)
Decision
1 (7%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Ricardo Romero and Seth Petruzelli within a point of even.

Ricardo Romero holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1642 to 1600, a 42-point edge.

Ricardo Romero enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Seth Petruzelli enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Ricardo Romero finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Seth Petruzelli 93%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.