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Combat Edge Intelligence

Ricardo Romero vs Seth Petruzelli

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

11-3-0Record14-8-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'0"
TBDReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
AMA Fight ClubTeamThe Jungle MMA

What's at stake

Ricardo Romero is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Seth Petruzelli carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Ricardo RomeroNow 1642
If they win+13→ 1655
If they lose-19→ 1623
Seth PetruzelliNow 1579
If they win+19→ 1598
If they lose-13→ 1566

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1523 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1585 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.17
Sig. strikes / min
2.03
56%
Strike accuracy
41%
4.77
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.09
46%
Strike defense
55%
1.63
Takedown avg.
0.46
10%
Takedown accuracy
50%
100%
Takedown defense
48%
3.26
Submission avg.
2.31

Trajectory

Ricardo RomeroSeth Petruzelli
1600165017002010201120122013

Win method breakdown

4 (36%)
KO/TKO
12 (86%)
6 (55%)
Submission
1 (7%)
1 (9%)
Decision
1 (7%)

Combat Edge model read

Seth Petruzelli59%
Ricardo Romero 41%Elo baseline: 41%

The Combat Edge model makes Seth Petruzelli a 59% favorite over Ricardo Romero in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ricardo Romero's way (41%).

Ricardo Romero holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1642 to 1579, a 63-point edge.

Ricardo Romero enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Seth Petruzelli enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Ricardo Romero finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Seth Petruzelli 93%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.