Combat Edge Intelligence

Ricco Rodriguez vs Tim Sylvia

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Tim Sylvia
us

Tim Sylvia

“The Maine-iac”

31-10-0HeavyweightAMC

1714Good

Tale of the tape

54-27-0Record31-10-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'8"
TBDReachTBD
225 lbsWeight265 lbs
American Fight ClubTeamTeam Extreme

What's at stake

Tim Sylvia is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Ricco Rodriguez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Ricco RodriguezNow 1590
If they win+16→ 1606
If they lose-8→ 1582
Tim SylviaNow 1714
If they win+8→ 1722
If they lose-16→ 1698

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1598 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1518 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.85
Sig. strikes / min
4.23
51%
Strike accuracy
42%
1.15
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.61
61%
Strike defense
61%
2.30
Takedown avg.
0.11
39%
Takedown accuracy
100%
41%
Takedown defense
75%
0.97
Submission avg.
0.11

Trajectory

Ricco RodriguezTim Sylvia
1600165017001750201120122013201420152016201720182019

Win method breakdown

17 (31%)
KO/TKO
22 (71%)
25 (46%)
Submission
2 (6%)
12 (22%)
Decision
7 (23%)

Combat Edge model read

Tim Sylvia64%
Ricco Rodriguez 36%Elo baseline: 67%

The Combat Edge model makes Tim Sylvia a 64% favorite over Ricco Rodriguez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (67%).

Tim Sylvia holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1714 to 1590, a 124-point edge.

Ricco Rodriguez enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Tim Sylvia enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Ricco Rodriguez finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Tim Sylvia 77%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.