Combat Edge Intelligence

Rich Clementi vs Sam Stout

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Sam Stout
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Sam Stout

“Hands of Stone”

20-12-1LightweightUFC

1594Solid

Tale of the tape

45-23-1Record20-12-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'9"
TBDReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Team VoodooTeamTeam Tompkins

What's at stake

Rich Clementi is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Sam Stout carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Rich ClementiNow 1631
If they win+11→ 1642
If they lose-13→ 1618
Sam StoutNow 1594
If they win+13→ 1607
If they lose-11→ 1583

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1585 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1652 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.56
Sig. strikes / min
4.17
37%
Strike accuracy
29%
2.56
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.08
61%
Strike defense
57%
1.92
Takedown avg.
0.63
42%
Takedown accuracy
38%
26%
Takedown defense
78%
1.10
Submission avg.
0.13

Trajectory

Rich ClementiSam Stout
1600165020112012201320142015

Win method breakdown

13 (29%)
KO/TKO
9 (45%)
23 (51%)
Submission
1 (5%)
9 (20%)
Decision
10 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Sam Stout54%
Rich Clementi 46%Elo baseline: 45%

The Combat Edge model makes Sam Stout a 54% favorite over Rich Clementi in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Rich Clementi's way (45%).

Rich Clementi holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1631 to 1594, a 37-point edge.

Rich Clementi enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Sam Stout enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Rich Clementi finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Sam Stout 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.