Rich Franklin vs Travis Lutter
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
29-7-0Record10-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'2"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Team ExtremeTeamLion's Den Dallas
What's at stake
Rich Franklin is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +6 while a loss costs more — Travis Lutter carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+6→ 1716
If they lose-18→ 1692
If they win+37→ 1541
If they lose-11→ 1493
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1689 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1638 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Rich FranklinTravis Lutter
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Rich Franklin79%
Travis Lutter 21%Elo baseline: 77%
The Combat Edge model makes Rich Franklin a 79% favorite over Travis Lutter in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (77%).
Rich Franklin holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1710 to 1504, a 206-point edge.
Rich Franklin finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Travis Lutter 80%.
Rich Franklin and Travis Lutter share 1 common opponent: Anderson Silva.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.