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Combat Edge Intelligence

Richard Dalton vs Ryo Sakai

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ryo Sakai
jp

Ryo Sakai

“Raging Bull”

15-16-0HeavyweightRFF

1494Average

Tale of the tape

4-3-1Record15-16-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height5'11"
TBDReach-
230 lbsWeight246 lbs
ManufRactured FightingTeamRanger Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Richard DaltonNow 1500
If they win+24→ 1524
If they lose-24→ 1476
Ryo SakaiNow 1494
If they win+12→ 1506
If they lose-12→ 1482

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1512 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1538 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
Not available
Strike accuracy
Not available
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
Not available
Strike defense
Not available
Not available
Takedown avg.
Not available
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
Not available
Takedown defense
Not available
Not available
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Richard DaltonRyo Sakai
15001550200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (50%)
KO/TKO
10 (67%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
2 (50%)
Decision
5 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Ryo Sakai62%
Richard Dalton 38%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Ryo Sakai a 62% favorite over Richard Dalton in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Richard Dalton's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1500 vs 1494), separated by just 6 points.

Ryo Sakai enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Richard Dalton finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Ryo Sakai 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.