Combat Edge Intelligence

Richard Muzaan vs Zac Pauga

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Zac Pauga
us

Zac Pauga

“The Ripper”

7-4-0Light HeavyweightXFC

1571Solid

Tale of the tape

6-4-1Record7-4-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'0"
83"Reach76"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
TBDTeamElevation Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Richard MuzaanNow 1575
If they win+16→ 1591
If they lose-16→ 1559
Zac PaugaNow 1571
If they win+16→ 1587
If they lose-16→ 1555

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1513 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1575 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
4.46
TBD
Strike accuracy
63%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.73
TBD
Strike defense
59%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.38
TBD
Takedown accuracy
8%
TBD
Takedown defense
100%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Richard MuzaanZac Pauga
1550160020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (100%)
KO/TKO
1 (14%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (14%)
0 (0%)
Decision
5 (71%)

Combat Edge model read

Richard Muzaan67%
Zac Pauga 33%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Richard Muzaan a 67% favorite over Zac Pauga in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1575 vs 1571), separated by just 4 points.

Richard Muzaan finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Zac Pauga 29%.

Richard Muzaan carries a 7-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.