Combat Edge Intelligence

Richard Walsh vs Shinji Sasaki

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Shinji Sasaki
jp

Shinji Sasaki

“Torao Supernova”

20-15-3WelterweightRFF

1513Average

Tale of the tape

9-5-0Record20-15-3
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'9"
73,0"Reach-
170 lbsWeight170 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Richard WalshNow 1508
If they win+16→ 1524
If they lose-16→ 1492
Shinji SasakiNow 1513
If they win+16→ 1529
If they lose-16→ 1497

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1546 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1524 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.84
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
47%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.72
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
59%
Strike defense
TBD
1.55
Takedown avg.
TBD
40%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
67%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.19
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Richard WalshShinji Sasaki
15001550201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (44%)
KO/TKO
4 (20%)
1 (11%)
Submission
11 (55%)
4 (44%)
Decision
5 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Richard Walsh and Shinji Sasaki within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1508 vs 1513), separated by just 5 points.

Richard Walsh enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Shinji Sasaki enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Richard Walsh finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Shinji Sasaki 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.