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Combat Edge Intelligence

Richie Miranda vs Robert Watley

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-2-0Record16-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'9"
74"Reach75"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Richie MirandaNow 1691
If they win+16→ 1707
If they lose-16→ 1675
Robert WatleyNow 1690
If they win+16→ 1706
If they lose-16→ 1674

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1538 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1615 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
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Strike accuracy
Not available
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
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Strike defense
Not available
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Takedown avg.
Not available
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Takedown accuracy
Not available
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Takedown defense
Not available
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Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Richie MirandaRobert Watley
165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (38%)
KO/TKO
6 (38%)
3 (23%)
Submission
4 (25%)
5 (38%)
Decision
6 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Robert Watley57%
Richie Miranda 43%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Robert Watley a 57% favorite over Richie Miranda in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Richie Miranda's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1691 vs 1690), separated by just 1 points.

Robert Watley enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Richie Miranda finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Robert Watley 63%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.