Rick Roufus vs Sam Fournier
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
4-6-0Record2-3-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'5"
TBDReach-
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Team
What's at stake
Sam Fournier is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Rick Roufus carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+26→ 1464
If they lose-22→ 1416
If they win+22→ 1482
If they lose-26→ 1434
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1515 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1497 · 5 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Rick RoufusSam Fournier
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Sam Fournier53%
Rick Roufus 47%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Sam Fournier a 53% favorite over Rick Roufus in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Sam Fournier holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1460 to 1438, a 22-point edge.
Rick Roufus enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Sam Fournier enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Rick Roufus finishes 50% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.