Ricky Rainey vs Tim Means
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-6-0Record33-17-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height6'2"
43,5"Reach75"
171 lbsWeight170 lbs
Renegade Fighting SystemsTeamFit NHB· 1621 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
Tim Means is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Ricky Rainey carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1621
If they lose-14→ 1589
If they win+11→ 1656
If they lose-13→ 1632
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1586 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1669 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ricky RaineyTim Means
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tim Means65%
Ricky Rainey 35%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Tim Means a 65% favorite over Ricky Rainey in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Tim Means holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1645 to 1603, a 42-point edge.
Ricky Rainey enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Tim Means enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ricky Rainey finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Tim Means 76%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.