Combat Edge Intelligence

Ricky Simón vs Vinicius Oliveira

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

22-7-1Record24-4-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'9"
69"Reach70"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
American Top Team PortlandTeamSombra Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ricky SimónNow 1734
If they win+12→ 1746
If they lose-12→ 1722
Vinicius OliveiraNow 1739
If they win+16→ 1755
If they lose-16→ 1723

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1711 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1644 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.04
Sig. strikes / min
4.73
43%
Strike accuracy
44%
3.85
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.70
61%
Strike defense
57%
4.66
Takedown avg.
1.45
42%
Takedown accuracy
47%
77%
Takedown defense
70%
0.28
Submission avg.
0.21

Trajectory

Ricky SimónVinicius Oliveira
165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (32%)
KO/TKO
17 (71%)
4 (18%)
Submission
2 (8%)
11 (50%)
Decision
5 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

Vinicius Oliveira61%
Ricky Simón 39%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Vinicius Oliveira a 61% favorite over Ricky Simón in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1734 vs 1739), separated by just 5 points.

Ricky Simón finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Vinicius Oliveira 79%.

Ricky Simón and Vinicius Oliveira share 1 common opponent: Mario Bautista.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossDecision (unanimous) · 2024
Mario Bautista
LossSoumission · 2026