Combat Edge Intelligence

Riki Fukuda vs Steve Cantwell

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

24-9-0Record7-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'2"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
GrabakaTeamOne Kick's Gym

What's at stake

Riki Fukuda is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Steve Cantwell carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Riki FukudaNow 1670
If they win+11→ 1681
If they lose-13→ 1657
Steve CantwellNow 1629
If they win+18→ 1647
If they lose-14→ 1615

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1550 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1601 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.67
Sig. strikes / min
3.63
46%
Strike accuracy
35%
4.45
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.76
64%
Strike defense
55%
2.60
Takedown avg.
0.65
45%
Takedown accuracy
31%
70%
Takedown defense
81%
0
Submission avg.
0.65

Trajectory

Riki FukudaSteve Cantwell
1650170020102011201220132014201520162017

Win method breakdown

12 (50%)
KO/TKO
3 (43%)
0 (0%)
Submission
4 (57%)
12 (50%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Steve Cantwell53%
Riki Fukuda 47%Elo baseline: 44%

The Combat Edge model makes Steve Cantwell a 53% favorite over Riki Fukuda in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Riki Fukuda's way (44%).

Riki Fukuda holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1670 to 1629, a 41-point edge.

Steve Cantwell enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Riki Fukuda finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Steve Cantwell 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.