Combat Edge Intelligence

Riki Fukuda vs Tom DeBlass

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

24-9-0Record9-2-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height5'11"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight205 lbs
GrabakaTeamRicardo Almeida Jiu-Jitsu

What's at stake

Riki Fukuda is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Tom DeBlass carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Riki FukudaNow 1670
If they win+11→ 1681
If they lose-13→ 1657
Tom DeBlassNow 1639
If they win+17→ 1656
If they lose-15→ 1624

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1550 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1537 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.67
Sig. strikes / min
1.50
46%
Strike accuracy
36%
4.45
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.43
64%
Strike defense
38%
2.60
Takedown avg.
1
45%
Takedown accuracy
50%
70%
Takedown defense
29%
0
Submission avg.
0.50

Trajectory

Riki FukudaTom DeBlass
15501600165017002011201220132014201520162017

Win method breakdown

12 (50%)
KO/TKO
4 (44%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (22%)
12 (50%)
Decision
3 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Tom DeBlass60%
Riki Fukuda 40%Elo baseline: 46%

The Combat Edge model makes Tom DeBlass a 60% favorite over Riki Fukuda in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Riki Fukuda's way (46%).

Riki Fukuda holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1670 to 1639, a 31-point edge.

Tom DeBlass enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Riki Fukuda finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Tom DeBlass 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.