Rinat Fakhretdinov vs Sean Brady
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-1-1Record19-2-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'9"
74"Reach72"
171 lbsWeight170 lbs
American Top TeamTeamRenzo Gracie Philly· 1735 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1827
If they lose-16→ 1795
If they win+16→ 1823
If they lose-16→ 1791
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1651 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1750 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Rinat FakhretdinovSean Brady
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Sean Brady57%
Rinat Fakhretdinov 43%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Sean Brady a 57% favorite over Rinat Fakhretdinov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Rinat Fakhretdinov's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1811 vs 1807), separated by just 4 points.
Rinat Fakhretdinov enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Rinat Fakhretdinov finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Sean Brady 47%.
Rinat Fakhretdinov carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.