Rizvan Kuniev vs Ryan Spann
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-3-1Record24-12-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'5"
76"Reach79"
250 lbsWeight205 lbs
Gorets Fight Club· 1721 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamFortis MMA
What's at stake
Rizvan Kuniev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Ryan Spann carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1753
If they lose-18→ 1721
If they win+13→ 1709
If they lose-11→ 1685
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1625 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1678 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Rizvan KunievRyan Spann
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Rizvan Kuniev51%
Ryan Spann 49%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Rizvan Kuniev a 51% favorite over Ryan Spann in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Rizvan Kuniev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1739 to 1696, a 43-point edge.
Rizvan Kuniev enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Rizvan Kuniev finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Ryan Spann 88%.
Ryan Spann carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.