Roan Carneiro vs Sean Clancy Jr.
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
21-13-0Record9-0-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'2"
74,0"Reach72"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
American Top Team AtlantaTeamHigher Level MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1712
If they lose-12→ 1688
If they win+24→ 1723
If they lose-24→ 1675
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1635 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1511 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Roan CarneiroSean Clancy Jr.
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Sean Clancy Jr.84%
Roan Carneiro 16%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Sean Clancy Jr. a 84% favorite over Roan Carneiro in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Roan Carneiro's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1700 vs 1699), separated by just 1 points.
Sean Clancy Jr. enters on a 9-fight win streak.
Roan Carneiro finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Sean Clancy Jr. 100%.
Roan Carneiro carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.