Combat Edge Intelligence

Rob Broughton vs Steven Asplund

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-7-1Record8-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'5"
TBDReach78"
258 lbsWeight261 lbs
Atherton Submission WrestlingTeamMcCune's Martial Arts

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Rob BroughtonNow 1642
If they win+12→ 1654
If they lose-12→ 1630
Steven AsplundNow 1644
If they win+16→ 1660
If they lose-16→ 1628

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1538 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1545 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.83
Sig. strikes / min
10.05
60%
Strike accuracy
52%
2.54
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.64
52%
Strike defense
50%
0
Takedown avg.
0
0%
Takedown accuracy
0%
27%
Takedown defense
100%
3.24
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Rob BroughtonSteven Asplund
15501600165020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (50%)
KO/TKO
6 (75%)
5 (31%)
Submission
0 (0%)
3 (19%)
Decision
2 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Steven Asplund71%
Rob Broughton 29%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Steven Asplund a 71% favorite over Rob Broughton in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1642 vs 1644), separated by just 2 points.

Rob Broughton finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Steven Asplund 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.