Combat Edge Intelligence

Rob Emerson vs Tysen Herken

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Rob Emerson
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Rob Emerson

“The Saint”

21-15-0BantamweightGP

1476Average

Tale of the tape

21-15-0Record0-1-0
BantamweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height6'0"
TBDReach-
135 lbsWeight155 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Rob EmersonNow 1476
If they win+16→ 1492
If they lose-16→ 1460
Tysen HerkenNow 1476
If they win+24→ 1500
If they lose-24→ 1452

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1592 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1506 · 1 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.50
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
31%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.83
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
65%
Strike defense
TBD
2.02
Takedown avg.
TBD
53%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
66%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.40
Submission avg.
TBD

Win method breakdown

6 (29%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
7 (33%)
Submission
0 (0%)
8 (38%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Tysen Herken70%
Rob Emerson 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Tysen Herken a 70% favorite over Rob Emerson in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Rob Emerson's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1476 vs 1476), separated by just 0 points.

Rob Emerson finishes 62% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.