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Combat Edge Intelligence

Rob Font vs Said Nurmagomedov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Rob Font
us

Rob Font

22-10-0BantamweightUFC

1731Good

Tale of the tape

22-10-0Record18-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'8"
71"Reach70"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
New England CartelTeamFight Club Akhmat· 1680 avg Elo · 29 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Rob FontNow 1731
If they win+12→ 1743
If they lose-12→ 1719
Said NurmagomedovNow 1732
If they win+16→ 1748
If they lose-16→ 1716

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1744 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1692 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

5.36
Sig. strikes / min
3.08
45%
Strike accuracy
49%
3.70
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.05
57%
Strike defense
56%
0.74
Takedown avg.
0.86
30%
Takedown accuracy
15%
44%
Takedown defense
63%
0.34
Submission avg.
1.15

Trajectory

Rob FontSaid Nurmagomedov
17502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (41%)
KO/TKO
4 (22%)
4 (18%)
Submission
6 (33%)
9 (41%)
Decision
8 (44%)

Combat Edge model read

Rob Font56%
Said Nurmagomedov 44%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Rob Font a 56% favorite over Said Nurmagomedov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Said Nurmagomedov's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1731 vs 1732), separated by just 1 points.

Rob Font enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Said Nurmagomedov enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Rob Font finishes 59% of wins inside the distance, Said Nurmagomedov 56%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.