Combat Edge Intelligence

Rob Font vs Thomas Almeida

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Rob Font
us

Rob Font

22-10-0BantamweightUFC

1731Good

Tale of the tape

22-10-0Record22-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'7"
71"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
New England CartelTeamChute Boxe Diego Lima

What's at stake

Rob Font is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Thomas Almeida carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Rob FontNow 1731
If they win+11→ 1742
If they lose-13→ 1718
Thomas AlmeidaNow 1701
If they win+13→ 1714
If they lose-11→ 1690

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1743 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1662 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.36
Sig. strikes / min
4.84
45%
Strike accuracy
44%
3.70
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.93
57%
Strike defense
62%
0.74
Takedown avg.
0.17
30%
Takedown accuracy
14%
44%
Takedown defense
76%
0.34
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Rob FontThomas Almeida
17001750202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (41%)
KO/TKO
17 (77%)
4 (18%)
Submission
4 (18%)
9 (41%)
Decision
1 (5%)

Combat Edge model read

Rob Font66%
Thomas Almeida 34%Elo baseline: 54%

The Combat Edge model makes Rob Font a 66% favorite over Thomas Almeida in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).

Rob Font holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1731 to 1701, a 30-point edge.

Rob Font enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Thomas Almeida enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Rob Font finishes 59% of wins inside the distance, Thomas Almeida 95%.

Rob Font and Thomas Almeida share 1 common opponent: Cody Garbrandt.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinDecision (unanimous) · 2021
Cody Garbrandt
LossKO/TKO · 2016