Combat Edge Intelligence

Rob Kimmons vs Ryan Loder

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Rob Kimmons
us

Rob Kimmons

“The Rosedale Reaper”

25-9-0WelterweightEFN

1589Solid
Ryan Loder
us

Ryan Loder

“The Man of Steel”

7-3-0MiddleweightUFC

1590Solid

Tale of the tape

25-9-0Record7-3-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'10"Height6'2"
TBDReach76"
170 lbsWeight185 lbs
K2L GrindhouseTeamApex Wrestling Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Rob KimmonsNow 1589
If they win+12→ 1601
If they lose-12→ 1577
Ryan LoderNow 1590
If they win+16→ 1606
If they lose-16→ 1574

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1566 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1537 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.86
Sig. strikes / min
5.76
49%
Strike accuracy
71%
4.79
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.51
38%
Strike defense
50%
2.08
Takedown avg.
1.57
47%
Takedown accuracy
14%
25%
Takedown defense
100%
2.37
Submission avg.
1.57

Trajectory

Rob KimmonsRyan Loder
155016001650201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

5 (20%)
KO/TKO
5 (71%)
16 (64%)
Submission
0 (0%)
4 (16%)
Decision
2 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Ryan Loder63%
Rob Kimmons 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ryan Loder a 63% favorite over Rob Kimmons in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1589 vs 1590), separated by just 1 points.

Ryan Loder enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Rob Kimmons finishes 84% of wins inside the distance, Ryan Loder 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.