Rob MacDonald vs Zdenek Polivka
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-4-0Record10-8-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'1"
TBDReach-
230 lbsWeight205 lbs
Franco BehringTeamGorila MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1566
If they lose-24→ 1518
If they win+16→ 1556
If they lose-16→ 1524
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1582 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1536 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Rob MacDonaldZdenek Polivka
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Zdenek Polivka58%
Rob MacDonald 42%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Zdenek Polivka a 58% favorite over Rob MacDonald in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Rob MacDonald's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1542 vs 1540), separated by just 2 points.
Rob MacDonald enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Rob MacDonald finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Zdenek Polivka 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.