Rob Wilkinson vs Siyar Bahadurzada
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-5-0Record24-8-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionWelterweight
6'3"Height5'11"
80"Reach72,5"
205 lbsWeight170 lbs
Hybrid Training CentreTeamJackson-Wink MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+15→ 1722
If they lose-17→ 1690
If they win+12→ 1705
If they lose-12→ 1681
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1663 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1664 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Rob WilkinsonSiyar Bahadurzada
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Rob Wilkinson73%
Siyar Bahadurzada 27%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Rob Wilkinson a 73% favorite over Siyar Bahadurzada in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1707 vs 1693), separated by just 14 points.
Siyar Bahadurzada enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Rob Wilkinson finishes 90% of wins inside the distance, Siyar Bahadurzada 83%.
Rob Wilkinson carries a 8-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.