Robbie Lawler vs Shamil Musaev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
30-16-0Record18-1-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'10"
74"Reach71"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamGolden Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1800
If they lose-12→ 1776
If they win+16→ 1796
If they lose-16→ 1764
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1760 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1632 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Robbie LawlerShamil Musaev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Shamil Musaev72%
Robbie Lawler 28%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Shamil Musaev a 72% favorite over Robbie Lawler in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Robbie Lawler's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1788 vs 1780), separated by just 8 points.
Robbie Lawler finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Shamil Musaev 78%.
Robbie Lawler carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.