Robbie Peralta vs Thiago Tavares
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-9-0Record24-11-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'7"
TBDReach68,0"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Team Xplode MMATeamTeam Tavares
What's at stake
Thiago Tavares is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Robbie Peralta carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+21→ 1556
If they lose-11→ 1524
If they win+8→ 1653
If they lose-16→ 1629
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1614 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1586 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Robbie PeraltaThiago Tavares
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Thiago Tavares55%
Robbie Peralta 45%Elo baseline: 65%
The Combat Edge model makes Thiago Tavares a 55% favorite over Robbie Peralta in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).
Thiago Tavares holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1645 to 1535, a 110-point edge.
Robbie Peralta enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Robbie Peralta finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Thiago Tavares 79%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.