Combat Edge Intelligence

Robelis Despaigne vs Thomas Petersen

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

6-2-0Record11-5-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'7"Height6'1"
84"Reach74"
263 lbsWeight257 lbs
MMA TempleTeamSpartan MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Robelis DespaigneNow 1623
If they win+24→ 1647
If they lose-24→ 1599
Thomas PetersenNow 1625
If they win+16→ 1641
If they lose-16→ 1609

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1572 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1627 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.11
Sig. strikes / min
3.10
60%
Strike accuracy
60%
2.54
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.61
47%
Strike defense
55%
0
Takedown avg.
3.01
TBD
Takedown accuracy
43%
50%
Takedown defense
88%
0
Submission avg.
0.38

Trajectory

Robelis DespaigneThomas Petersen
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (100%)
KO/TKO
7 (64%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (9%)
0 (0%)
Decision
3 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Thomas Petersen52%
Robelis Despaigne 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Thomas Petersen a 52% favorite over Robelis Despaigne in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1623 vs 1625), separated by just 2 points.

Robelis Despaigne finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Thomas Petersen 73%.

Robelis Despaigne carries a 10-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.