Robert Breslin vs Valentino Greco
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
3-9-1Record1-3-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height6'0"
TBDReach-
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Breslins Freestyle Fight TeamTeamX Uno Boxing Genova
What's at stake
Valentino Greco is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +20 while a loss costs more — Robert Breslin carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+28→ 1412
If they lose-20→ 1364
If they win+20→ 1467
If they lose-28→ 1419
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1500 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1498 · 4 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Robert BreslinValentino Greco
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Valentino Greco64%
Robert Breslin 36%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Valentino Greco a 64% favorite over Robert Breslin in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Valentino Greco holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1447 to 1384, a 63-point edge.
Robert Breslin enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Valentino Greco enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Robert Breslin finishes 67% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.