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Combat Edge Intelligence

Robert Drysdale vs Thiago Santos

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

7-0-0Record22-13-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'2"
TBDReach 76"
205 lbsWeight241 lbs
Drysdale Jiu-JitsuTeamTeam Marreta

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Robert DrysdaleNow 1673
If they win+24→ 1697
If they lose-24→ 1649
Thiago SantosNow 1674
If they win+12→ 1686
If they lose-12→ 1662

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1525 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1726 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

0
Sig. strikes / min
3.72
0%
Strike accuracy
48%
0
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.57
0%
Strike defense
54%
7.32
Takedown avg.
0.88
100%
Takedown accuracy
33%
0%
Takedown defense
66%
21.95
Submission avg.
0.06

Trajectory

Robert DrysdaleThiago Santos
1700201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
15 (68%)
7 (100%)
Submission
1 (5%)
0 (0%)
Decision
6 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Thiago Santos64%
Robert Drysdale 36%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Thiago Santos a 64% favorite over Robert Drysdale in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1673 vs 1674), separated by just 1 points.

Robert Drysdale enters on a 7-fight win streak.

Thiago Santos enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Robert Drysdale finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Thiago Santos 73%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.