Combat Edge Intelligence

Robert Emerson vs Ryo Hirayama

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

21-15-0Record4-1-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'6"
TBDReach-
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
MMA LabTeamX-Treme Ebina

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Robert EmersonNow 1566
If they win+12→ 1578
If they lose-12→ 1554
Ryo HirayamaNow 1570
If they win+24→ 1594
If they lose-24→ 1546

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1542 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1515 · 5 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.50
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
31%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.83
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
65%
Strike defense
TBD
2.02
Takedown avg.
TBD
53%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
66%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.40
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Robert EmersonRyo Hirayama
15501600201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

6 (29%)
KO/TKO
2 (50%)
7 (33%)
Submission
2 (50%)
8 (38%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Ryo Hirayama72%
Robert Emerson 28%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Ryo Hirayama a 72% favorite over Robert Emerson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1566 vs 1570), separated by just 4 points.

Robert Emerson enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Robert Emerson finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Ryo Hirayama 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.