Combat Edge Intelligence

Robert Whittaker vs Yoel Romero

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Yoel Romero
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Yoel Romero

“Soldier of God”

16-7-0Light HeavyweightPFL

1731Good

Tale of the tape

27-9-0Record16-7-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height5'10"
73"Reach73"
186 lbsWeight205 lbs
PMA Super Martial ArtsTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

Robert Whittaker is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Yoel Romero carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Robert WhittakerNow 1752
If they win+11→ 1763
If they lose-13→ 1739
Yoel RomeroNow 1731
If they win+17→ 1748
If they lose-15→ 1716

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1753 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1716 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.39
Sig. strikes / min
3.44
43%
Strike accuracy
49%
3.36
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.05
60%
Strike defense
61%
0.73
Takedown avg.
1.57
10%
Takedown accuracy
30%
82%
Takedown defense
78%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Robert WhittakerYoel Romero
1700175020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (41%)
KO/TKO
13 (81%)
5 (19%)
Submission
0 (0%)
11 (41%)
Decision
3 (19%)

Combat Edge model read

Robert Whittaker60%
Yoel Romero 40%Elo baseline: 53%

The Combat Edge model makes Robert Whittaker a 60% favorite over Yoel Romero in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).

Robert Whittaker holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1752 to 1731, a 21-point edge.

Robert Whittaker finishes 59% of wins inside the distance, Yoel Romero 81%.

Robert Whittaker and Yoel Romero share 2 common opponents: Paulo Costa and Israel Adesanya.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (2)

LossDecision (Unanimous) · 2022
Israel Adesanya
LossDecision (unanimous) · 2020
WinDecision - Unanimous · 2024
Paulo Costa
LossDecision (unanimous) · 2019