Combat Edge Intelligence

Robert Whittaker vs Yoel Romero

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Yoel Romero
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Yoel Romero

“Soldier of God”

16-7-0Light HeavyweightPFL

1731Good

Tale of the tape

26-9-0Record16-7-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height5'10"
73"Reach73"
186 lbsWeight205 lbs
PMA Super Martial ArtsTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Robert WhittakerNow 1739
If they win+12→ 1751
If they lose-12→ 1727
Yoel RomeroNow 1731
If they win+16→ 1747
If they lose-16→ 1715

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1755 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1716 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.39
Sig. strikes / min
3.44
43%
Strike accuracy
49%
3.36
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.05
60%
Strike defense
61%
0.73
Takedown avg.
1.57
38%
Takedown accuracy
30%
82%
Takedown defense
78%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Robert WhittakerYoel Romero
170017502022202320242025

Win method breakdown

10 (38%)
KO/TKO
13 (81%)
5 (19%)
Submission
0 (0%)
11 (42%)
Decision
3 (19%)

Combat Edge model read

Robert Whittaker52%
Yoel Romero 48%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Robert Whittaker a 52% favorite over Yoel Romero in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1739 vs 1731), separated by just 8 points.

Robert Whittaker enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Robert Whittaker finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Yoel Romero 81%.

Robert Whittaker and Yoel Romero share 2 common opponents: Paulo Costa and Israel Adesanya.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (2)

LossDecision (Unanimous) · 2022
Israel Adesanya
LossDecision (unanimous) · 2020
WinDecision - Unanimous · 2024
Paulo Costa
LossDecision (unanimous) · 2019