Combat Edge Intelligence

Roberto de Souza vs Shunta Nomura

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Official bout pages

New comparison

This page compares both fighters across their careers. Event-specific previews, results, round stats, and bout facts live on the separate official Fight page for each meeting.

Tale of the tape

21-4-0Record10-3-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'8"
-Reach-
156 lbsWeight156 lbs
Bonsai Jiu-JitsuTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

Roberto de Souza is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Shunta Nomura carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Roberto de SouzaNow 1707
If they win+10→ 1717
If they lose-14→ 1693
Shunta NomuraNow 1642
If they win+19→ 1661
If they lose-13→ 1629

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1637 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1544 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
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Strike defense
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Takedown avg.
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Takedown accuracy
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
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Trajectory

Roberto de SouzaShunta Nomura
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (29%)
KO/TKO
4 (40%)
13 (62%)
Submission
0 (0%)
2 (10%)
Decision
6 (60%)

Combat Edge model read

Roberto de Souza75%
Shunta Nomura 25%Elo baseline: 59%

The Combat Edge model makes Roberto de Souza a 75% favorite over Shunta Nomura in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).

Roberto de Souza holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1707 to 1642, a 65-point edge.

Roberto de Souza finishes 90% of wins inside the distance, Shunta Nomura 40%.

Roberto de Souza and Shunta Nomura share 2 common opponents: Luiz Gustavo and Patricky Pitbull.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (2)

LossTKO (Leg Kick) · 2023
Patricky Pitbull
WinDecision (Unanimous) · 2025
WinTKO (Punches) · 2024
Luiz Gustavo
WinTechnical Decision (Unanimous) · 2025