Combat Edge Intelligence

Roberto Mario Ionescu vs Toby Misech

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Toby Misech
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Toby Misech

“2 Quick”

12-9-0FeatherweightCWFC

1531Average

Tale of the tape

3-2-1Record12-9-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'8"
70"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight146 lbs
Circus ArenaTeamJesus Is Lord

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Roberto Mario IonescuNow 1524
If they win+24→ 1548
If they lose-24→ 1500
Toby MisechNow 1531
If they win+16→ 1547
If they lose-16→ 1515

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1510 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1571 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.27
TBD
Strike accuracy
41%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
7.73
TBD
Strike defense
46%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Roberto Mario IonescuToby Misech
155016002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (67%)
KO/TKO
8 (73%)
1 (33%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
3 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Roberto Mario Ionescu57%
Toby Misech 43%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Roberto Mario Ionescu a 57% favorite over Toby Misech in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Toby Misech's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1524 vs 1531), separated by just 7 points.

Toby Misech enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Roberto Mario Ionescu finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Toby Misech 73%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.