Combat Edge Intelligence

Roberto Romero vs Sam Sicilia

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-5-1Record18-11-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'8"
70"Reach67,0"
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
Team Oyama· 1645 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamSikjitsu

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Roberto RomeroNow 1573
If they win+16→ 1589
If they lose-16→ 1557
Sam SiciliaNow 1574
If they win+12→ 1586
If they lose-12→ 1562

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1533 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1605 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.93
Sig. strikes / min
2.46
48%
Strike accuracy
34%
8.07
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.55
43%
Strike defense
59%
0
Takedown avg.
1.45
TBD
Takedown accuracy
43%
67%
Takedown defense
70%
0
Submission avg.
0.87

Trajectory

Roberto RomeroSam Sicilia
155016002019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

3 (38%)
KO/TKO
9 (50%)
2 (25%)
Submission
4 (22%)
3 (38%)
Decision
5 (28%)

Combat Edge model read

Roberto Romero66%
Sam Sicilia 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Roberto Romero a 66% favorite over Sam Sicilia in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Sam Sicilia's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1573 vs 1574), separated by just 1 points.

Roberto Romero enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Roberto Romero finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Sam Sicilia 72%.

Roberto Romero carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.